diff --git a/apps/studio/lib/project-transition-state.ts b/apps/studio/lib/project-transition-state.ts
index 871533bc81d..ae46dec73ca 100644
--- a/apps/studio/lib/project-transition-state.ts
+++ b/apps/studio/lib/project-transition-state.ts
@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
 import { safeLocalStorage } from 'common'
 
-export const FALLBACK_LONG_RUNNING_STATE_THRESHOLD_MINUTES = 10
+export const FALLBACK_LONG_RUNNING_STATE_THRESHOLD_MINUTES = 20
 // Persist long enough for same-browser reloads, but not so long that a later transition reuses stale state.
 export const MAX_PERSISTED_TRANSITION_AGE_HOURS = 24
 
diff --git a/apps/studio/lib/restore-estimate.test.ts b/apps/studio/lib/restore-estimate.test.ts
index 3ad94014e70..1f1d5bdf532 100644
--- a/apps/studio/lib/restore-estimate.test.ts
+++ b/apps/studio/lib/restore-estimate.test.ts
@@ -11,14 +11,14 @@ describe('restore-estimate', () => {
     expect(estimateRestoreTimeFromSizeGb(21_000)).toBeCloseTo(723, 0)
   })
 
-  it('uses a 10 minute floor when size is missing or small', () => {
-    expect(getRestoreLongRunningThresholdMinutes()).toBe(10)
-    expect(getRestoreLongRunningThresholdMinutes(null)).toBe(10)
-    expect(getRestoreLongRunningThresholdMinutes(100)).toBe(10)
+  it('uses a 20 minute floor when size is missing or small', () => {
+    expect(getRestoreLongRunningThresholdMinutes()).toBe(20)
+    expect(getRestoreLongRunningThresholdMinutes(null)).toBe(20)
+    expect(getRestoreLongRunningThresholdMinutes(100)).toBe(20)
   })
 
   it('scales the long-running threshold for larger restores', () => {
-    expect(getRestoreLongRunningThresholdMinutes(200)).toBe(15)
+    expect(getRestoreLongRunningThresholdMinutes(200)).toBe(20)
     expect(getRestoreLongRunningThresholdMinutes(500)).toBe(31)
     expect(getRestoreLongRunningThresholdMinutes(1_000)).toBe(56)
   })